# Potential Scenarios

### Bull Case (Optimistic but achievable)

<figure><img src="/files/CgSjsFmPDGewh0GObNnu" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

* **Assumptions:** $500k on Day 1, then $200k/day through Day 7 → **$51,000 total fees** by Day 7.
* **Lotry Pot growth:** builds from **$7,500 (D1)** to **$23,429.75 (D7)**.
* **Daily Pot (10%):** starts at **$750 (D1)** and scales to **$2,342.98 (D7)**.

***

### Bear Case (Worst Case Scenario)

<figure><img src="/files/7OHjDwj1ZUjMXH5siWQm" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

* **Assumptions:** $250k on Day 1, then $0 volume → **$7,500 total fees** (flat after Day 1).
* **Lotry Pot decay:** **$3,750 (D1)** → **$1,992.90 (D7)** with no new inflows.
* **Daily Pot (10%):** **$375 (D1)** → **$199.29 (D7)**.

***

### PMF Case

<figure><img src="/files/3sfWITW797aUpUy67XVZ" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

* **Assumptions:** $2.5M/day for 7 days → **$525,000 total fees** by Day 7.
* **Lotry Pot growth:** **$37,500 (D1)** → **$241,735.54 (D7)**.
* **Daily Pot (10%):** **$3,750 (D1)** → **$24,173.55 (D7)**.


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