Potential Scenarios
Bull Case (Optimistic but achievable)
Assumptions: $500k on Day 1, then $200k/day through Day 7 → $51,000 total fees by Day 7.
Lotry Pot growth: builds from $7,500 (D1) to $23,429.75 (D7).
Daily Pot (10%): starts at $750 (D1) and scales to $2,342.98 (D7).
Bear Case (Worst Case Scenario)
Assumptions: $250k on Day 1, then $0 volume → $7,500 total fees (flat after Day 1).
Lotry Pot decay: $3,750 (D1) → $1,992.90 (D7) with no new inflows.
Daily Pot (10%): $375 (D1) → $199.29 (D7).
PMF Case
Assumptions: $2.5M/day for 7 days → $525,000 total fees by Day 7.
Lotry Pot growth: $37,500 (D1) → $241,735.54 (D7).
Daily Pot (10%): $3,750 (D1) → $24,173.55 (D7).
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